MLB Offseason Forecasts: Execs’ Free Agency & Trades Predictions

MLB offseason survey: 16 execs predict free agency, blockbuster trades and more

New York, November 28, 2025

The 2025 MLB offseason is unfolding with significant activity as the Toronto Blue Jays, New York Mets, and New York Yankees position themselves to acquire top free-agent talent and reshape their rosters ahead of the 2026 season. Elite players such as Framber Valdez, Dylan Cease, and Kyle Tucker are expected to command blockbuster contracts, reflecting heightened spending across pitching and outfield markets.

Top Starting Pitcher Free Agency Predictions

Elite left-handed starter Framber Valdez is widely predicted by MLB executives to sign with the Toronto Blue Jays. Valdez received five votes as the most probable destination, with analysts noting Toronto’s urgent need to strengthen its starting rotation following recent underperformance. The Baltimore Orioles are also considered a strong contender, with four votes highlighting their interest in enhancing their American League East pitching staff.

Another focal point of the pitching market is Ranger Suárez, whose future remains uncertain. Executives are split evenly, each giving four votes to the Boston Red Sox and Philadelphia Phillies as potential landing spots. Observers suggest Suárez could return to the Phillies following Zack Wheeler’s departure, pointing to the team’s greater need for his services.

On the right-handed pitcher front, Dylan Cease is forecasted to command the largest contract, potentially reaching $200 million. Six executives favor a signing with the New York Mets, citing Cease’s ability to rebound strongly after seasons with elevated ERAs. The Mets have demonstrated early offseason aggressiveness, exemplified by recent trades, and appear ready to invest heavily in their starting pitching.

Outfield Market and Kyle Tucker’s Big Contract

In the high-profile outfield market, Kyle Tucker stands out as a top free agent expected to secure one of the season’s largest contracts. The New York Yankees are viewed as the favorite destination, with most executives forecasting a deal in the $350 million to $400 million range over 10 years. However, some suggest Tucker’s recent second-half injuries could temper the contract’s maximum value.

Additionally, there is speculation that Tucker might seek a shorter-term contract with higher annual value and built-in opt-outs, similar to structures like Alex Bregman’s. This approach would allow Tucker to re-enter free agency after a strong 2026 or 2027 campaign. The Yankees are reportedly well-positioned to accommodate such flexible agreements.

The anticipated financial commitments to sign premier talent in both rotation and outfield roles underscore these franchises’ aggressive strategies to compete at the highest level.

The 2025 MLB offseason is thus set to be marked by substantial investments and bold roster moves, with the Blue Jays, Mets, and Yankees leading the pursuit of elite players. These transactions will play a decisive role in shaping team competitiveness and fan expectations heading into the 2026 campaign.